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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$129.85
Combined PnL
$30.95
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$129.85
Total Shares130
Combined PnL+$105.57
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares129
Combined PnL-$74.62
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 18.7¢ | $24.28 | $129.85 | +$105.57 | 48% 23103-25256 (48359) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $55.46 | — | -$55.46 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 59% 62031-43103 (105134) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $14.76 | — | -$14.76 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507Invested
$24.28
Value
$129.85
PnL
+$105.57
Record
48%
23103-25256 (48359)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$55.46
Value
—
PnL
-$55.46
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
59%
62031-43103 (105134)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$14.76
Value
—
PnL
-$14.76
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x46d04a6b...239304
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793236200