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UpDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$21.99
Combined PnL
$4.81
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$3.72
Down3 traders
Total Value$21.99
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$8.53
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.44 | — | -$0.44 | 59% 62020-43089 (105109) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $8.03 | $11 | +$2.97 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 48% 23100-25234 (48334) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $3.01 | — | -$3.01 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $2.7 | $5.74 | +$3.04 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 34% 18565-35570 (54135) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
59%
62020-43089 (105109)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$8.03
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.97
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
48%
23100-25234 (48334)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.01
Value
—
PnL
-$3.01
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
$5.74
PnL
+$3.04
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
LI
Little-big<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
34%
18565-35570 (54135)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc9612e4...f90643
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793233200