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UpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$36.46
Combined PnL
-$6.69
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$36.46
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$5.03
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares48
Combined PnL-$11.72
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.3¢ | $26.84 | $31.47 | +$4.63 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 9.8¢ | $2.73 | — | -$2.73 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $3.25 | — | -$3.25 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $5.74 | — | -$5.74 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $4.59 | $4.99 | +$0.4 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.84
Value
$31.47
PnL
+$4.63
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.74
Value
—
PnL
-$5.74
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
$4.99
PnL
+$0.4
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb7073df4...f6d9b8
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793225100