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DownUpDownDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$17.53
Combined PnL
-$14.74
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$16.84
Up1 trader
Total Value$17.53
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$2.1
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.3¢ | $12.96 | — | -$12.96 | 48% 23056-25131 (48187) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $15.43 | $17.53 | +$2.1 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 59% 61967-43004 (104971) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.2¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$12.96
Value
—
PnL
-$12.96
Record
48%
23056-25131 (48187)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$15.43
Value
$17.53
PnL
+$2.1
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
59%
61967-43004 (104971)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8573077a...9c4577
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793195400