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UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

BNB Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$44.43
Combined PnL
-$16.49
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$44.43
Total Shares44
Combined PnL+$5.92
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares73
Combined PnL-$22.41
Down β 20%Up β 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 86.7Β’ | $38.51 | $44.43 | +$5.92 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $18.2 | β | -$18.2 | 48% 23010-25080 (48090) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $3.51 | β | -$3.51 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.6 | β | -$0.6 | 58% 60064-43843 (103907) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 62% 43555-26484 (70039) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$38.51
Value
$44.43
PnL
+$5.92
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
β
PnL
-$18.2
Record
48%
23010-25080 (48090)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.51
Value
β
PnL
-$3.51
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
β
PnL
-$0.6
Record
58%
60064-43843 (103907)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
62%
43555-26484 (70039)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8e82ee4f...17adf8
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793173200