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DownUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$56.24
Combined PnL
$1.37
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares93
Combined PnL-$7.66
Up2 traders
Total Value$56.24
Total Shares56
Combined PnL+$9.03
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 48% 22949-24961 (47910) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 83.9¢ | $38.39 | $45.74 | +$7.35 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 58% 59958-43771 (103729) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $8.82 | $10.5 | +$1.68 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
48%
22949-24961 (47910)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$38.39
Value
$45.74
PnL
+$7.35
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
58%
59958-43771 (103729)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.82
Value
$10.5
PnL
+$1.68
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1cf02307...e05088
Slug
bnb-updown-5m-1793126700