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G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$35
Combined PnL
-$65.44
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$35
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$5.05
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares93
Combined PnL-$70.49
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $26.7 | $30 | +$3.3 | 49% 2495-2563 (5058) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $12.86 | — | -$12.86 | 49% 3629-3730 (7359) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $34.35 | — | -$34.35 | 60% 4239-2880 (7119) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 44% 2407-3121 (5528) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.3¢ | $14.98 | — | +$1.63 | 42% 2086-2846 (4932) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $19.96 | — | -$19.96 | 53% 1595-1405 (3000) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 48% 1498-1615 (3113) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.3
Record
49%
2495-2563 (5058)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$12.86
Value
—
PnL
-$12.86
Record
49%
3629-3730 (7359)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$34.35
Value
—
PnL
-$34.35
Record
60%
4239-2880 (7119)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
44%
2407-3121 (5528)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$14.98
Value
—
PnL
+$1.63
Record
42%
2086-2846 (4932)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$19.96
Value
—
PnL
-$19.96
Record
53%
1595-1405 (3000)
PB
PBot-5<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
48%
1498-1615 (3113)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc12c7389...f023ff
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794760200