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DownDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
Total Value
$126.7
Combined PnL
-$137.17
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$126.7
Total Shares127
Combined PnL+$28.06
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,848
Combined PnL-$165.23
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $48.88 | $68 | +$19.12 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $47.78 | $52.7 | +$6.96 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $26.4 | — | -$26.4 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $4.02 | $6 | +$1.98 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 7.6¢ | $138.83 | — | -$138.83 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$48.88
Value
$68
PnL
+$19.12
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$47.78
Value
$52.7
PnL
+$6.96
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$26.4
Value
—
PnL
-$26.4
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$4.02
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.98
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTRInvested
$138.83
Value
—
PnL
-$138.83
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac9ea6b6...8b5711
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794703500