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DownUpUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$46.81
Combined PnL
-$25.05
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$37.76
Up2 traders
Total Value$46.81
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$12.71
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $26.4 | — | -$26.4 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $19.2 | $26.69 | +$7.49 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 74.1¢ | $14.9 | $20.12 | +$5.22 | 51% 990-949 (1939) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.3¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 49% 1304-1382 (2686) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$26.4
Value
—
PnL
-$26.4
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$19.2
Value
$26.69
PnL
+$7.49
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
LI
Little-big<$100Invested
$14.9
Value
$20.12
PnL
+$5.22
Record
51%
990-949 (1939)
PB
PBot-5CTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
49%
1304-1382 (2686)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc3bd9bd5...2eb53d
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794697200