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DownUpUp
BoneOhioCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$133
Combined PnL
-$6.85
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$133
Total Shares133
Combined PnL+$30.23
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL-$37.08
Down — 20%Up — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 56¢ | $102.77 | $133 | +$30.23 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $26.7 | — | -$26.7 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.2¢ | $5.7 | — | -$4.43 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$102.77
Value
$133
PnL
+$30.23
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$26.7
Value
—
PnL
-$26.7
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.43
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9204aa54...09cab8
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794663900