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DownDownUpUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
BNB Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$160.08
Combined PnL
$15.85
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$160.08
Total Shares160
Combined PnL+$30.59
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$14.74
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $107.92 | $129.08 | +$21.15 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $21.56 | $31 | +$9.44 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $3.7 | — | -$2.34 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14Invested
$107.92
Value
$129.08
PnL
+$21.15
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$21.56
Value
$31
PnL
+$9.44
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd202b79e...53791b
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794519900