Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
6
Up 83%
$100
-$176.97
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.9¢ | $80.53 | — | -$80.53 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $59.27 | — | -$59.27 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $10.17 | — | -$8.88 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $18.25 | — | -$18.25 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $11.04 | — | -$11.04 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
Invested
$80.53
Value
—
PnL
-$80.53
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$59.27
Value
—
PnL
-$59.27
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
Invested
$10.17
Value
—
PnL
-$8.88
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$18.25
Value
—
PnL
-$18.25
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
Invested
$11.04
Value
—
PnL
-$11.04
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $100
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0