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DownUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 20%
Total Value
$174.81
Combined PnL
-$51.2
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares182
Combined PnL-$145.05
Up4 traders
Total Value$174.81
Total Shares175
Combined PnL+$93.85
Down — 20%Up — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR | Downavg 75.4¢ | $145.05 | — | -$145.05 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 29.8¢ | $47.91 | $112.81 | +$64.9 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $26.7 | $29.99 | +$3.3 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 22.2¢ | $6 | $27 | +$21 | 38% 657-1093 (1750) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $2.9 | $5 | +$4.65 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTRInvested
$145.05
Value
—
PnL
-$145.05
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$47.91
Value
$112.81
PnL
+$64.9
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.7
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$3.3
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$6
Value
$27
PnL
+$21
Record
38%
657-1093 (1750)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.65
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb047c61a...20c352
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794507300