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DownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$104.89
Combined PnL
-$16.29
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$104.89
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$14.91
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$31.2
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $63.28 | $74.89 | +$11.61 | 51% 1806-1756 (3562) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $26.7 | $30 | +$3.3 | 51% 1347-1269 (2616) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.8 | — | -$19.8 | 47% 912-1024 (1936) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 46% 1269-1467 (2736) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.5¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 53% 634-559 (1193) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$63.28
Value
$74.89
PnL
+$11.61
Record
51%
1806-1756 (3562)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$26.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.3
Record
51%
1347-1269 (2616)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$19.8
Value
—
PnL
-$19.8
Record
47%
912-1024 (1936)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
46%
1269-1467 (2736)
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
53%
634-559 (1193)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc9cafc71...ae95da
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794500100