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UpDownDownUp
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$50.17
Combined PnL
-$18.03
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$50.17
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$7.22
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$25.25
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1B 0x1b41...0b56<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $38.05 | $40.17 | +$2.12 | — |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $15.3 | — | -$15.3 | 49% 767-785 (1552) |
D8 0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $9.44 | — | -$9.44 | — |
42 0x424e...263b<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | — |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.51 | — | -$0.51 | 48% 1014-1081 (2095) |
1B
0x1b41...0b56<$100Invested
$38.05
Value
$40.17
PnL
+$2.12
Record
—
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
—
PnL
-$15.3
Record
49%
767-785 (1552)
D8
0xd8f1...74a9CTR<$100Invested
$9.44
Value
—
PnL
-$9.44
Record
—
42
0x424e...263b<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
—
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
48%
1014-1081 (2095)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc5c97d4a...6a4f80
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1794449700