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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Up 80%

Total Value

$29.19

Combined PnL

-$14.02

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down1 trader
Total Value$29.19
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$18.61
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares82
Combined PnL-$32.63
Down β€” 20%Up β€” 80%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x74566ff9...753cc8
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1793447100
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