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UpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$62.34
Combined PnL
-$49.92
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares111
Combined PnL-$63.35
Down2 traders
Total Value$62.34
Total Shares62
Combined PnL+$13.43
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $54.15 | — | -$41.5 | 64% 23652-13033 (36685) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $34.87 | $47.85 | +$12.98 | 56% 58218-44941 (103159) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 62% 43909-26928 (70837) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $14.05 | $14.49 | +$0.44 | 63% 52078-30813 (82891) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 58% 60691-44301 (104992) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$54.15
Value
—
PnL
-$41.5
Record
64%
23652-13033 (36685)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$34.87
Value
$47.85
PnL
+$12.98
Record
56%
58218-44941 (103159)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
62%
43909-26928 (70837)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.05
Value
$14.49
PnL
+$0.44
Record
63%
52078-30813 (82891)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
58%
60691-44301 (104992)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x95ce6b6a...ad8b08
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1793415600