Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

BNB Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$282.35
$11.24
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 36.5Β’ | $125.16 | $198.6 | +$73.44 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14ARB<$100 | Downavg 72.4Β’ | $80.51 | $63.07 | -$17.44 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 38.4Β’ | $24.25 | $63.07 | +$38.82 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 72.4Β’ | $56.26 | β | -$56.26 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $26.7 | β | -$26.7 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $18.38 | β | -$18.38 | 58% 60547-44207 (104754) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.1Β’ | $16.58 | β | -$14.48 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $12.22 | $7.69 | -$4.53 | 63% 51921-30603 (82524) |
YO YouSayUpISayDown<$100 | Upavg 85.5Β’ | $11.11 | $13 | +$1.89 | 53% 3701-3218 (6919) |
Invested
$125.16
Value
$198.6
PnL
+$73.44
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$80.51
Value
$63.07
PnL
-$17.44
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.7
Value
β
PnL
-$26.7
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Invested
$18.38
Value
β
PnL
-$18.38
Record
58%
60547-44207 (104754)
Invested
$16.58
Value
β
PnL
-$14.48
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.22
Value
$7.69
PnL
-$4.53
Record
63%
51921-30603 (82524)
Invested
$11.11
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.89
Record
53%
3701-3218 (6919)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $198.6
Kathod-Shi-14
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
CTRDown β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $7.69
YouSayUpISayDown
Up β $13