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DownDownUpUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$45.72
Combined PnL
-$193.18
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares278
Combined PnL-$230.57
Up3 traders
Total Value$45.72
Total Shares46
Combined PnL+$37.39
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR | Downavg 79.2¢ | $214.19 | — | -$214.19 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $16.38 | — | -$16.38 | 56% 57656-44547 (102203) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $2.38 | $17 | +$14.62 | 58% 60182-43943 (104125) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $2.63 | $16.46 | +$13.83 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $3.31 | $12.26 | +$8.95 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTRInvested
$214.19
Value
—
PnL
-$214.19
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$16.38
Value
—
PnL
-$16.38
Record
56%
57656-44547 (102203)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
$17
PnL
+$14.62
Record
58%
60182-43943 (104125)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
$16.46
PnL
+$13.83
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$3.31
Value
$12.26
PnL
+$8.95
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc0ccf5e7...37d01e
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1793232900