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UpUpUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$62.65
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares103
Combined PnL-$63.4
Down1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.75
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $27.6 | — | -$27.6 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $32.4 | — | -$32.4 | 68% 98660-46970 (145630) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $14.25 | $15 | +$0.75 | 55% 17174-13807 (30981) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
—
PnL
-$27.6
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$32.4
Value
—
PnL
-$32.4
Record
68%
98660-46970 (145630)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$14.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.75
Record
55%
17174-13807 (30981)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad77d4d9...403d31
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1793160000