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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will FC Ingolstadt 04 win on 2026-10-31?

Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 60%

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$455.2

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,675
Combined PnL+$508.32
Yes4 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares259
Combined PnL-$53.12
No — 60%Yes — 40%
UP
UpTheBlues
No

Invested

$767.58

Value

$922.81

PnL

+$155.23

Record

59%

45969-32302 (78271)

GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$113.28

Value

$250.78

PnL

+$137.5

Record

50%

25208-24935 (50143)

VeryLucky888
No

Invested

$94

Value

$200

PnL

+$106

Record

58%

42027-30514 (72541)

0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
No

Invested

$121.61

Value

$152.93

PnL

+$31.32

Record

59%

30499-21212 (51711)

LE
LeLynxMalynx
No

Invested

$62.51

Value

$133

PnL

+$70.49

Record

58%

28788-21225 (50013)

RN1<$100
No

Invested

$7.78

Value

$15.56

PnL

+$7.78

Record

54%

56681-48879 (105560)

BE
BetzikoCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$37.2

Value

$5

PnL

-$32.2

Record

54%

6304-5335 (11639)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.78

Value

—

PnL

-$7.78

Record

50%

33488-33047 (66535)

RE
retarbCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$10.23

Value

—

PnL

-$10.23

Record

48%

4225-4496 (8721)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.91

Value

—

PnL

-$2.91

Record

49%

8081-8480 (16561)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x9fc4bb83...7eb11f
Slug
bl3-hav-fci-2026-10-31-fci

Traders in this Market

UP

UpTheBlues

No — $922.81

+$155.23
GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $250.78

+$137.5

VeryLucky888

No — $200

+$106
0X

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

No — $152.93

+$31.32
LE

LeLynxMalynx

No — $133

+$70.49

RN1

No — $15.56

+$7.78
BE

Betziko

CTR

Yes — $5

-$32.2
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Yes — $0

-$7.78
RE

retarb

CTR

Yes — $0

-$10.23
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Yes — $0

-$2.91
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