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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

VfL Wolfsburg vs. VfL Osnabrück: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Over 50%

Total Value

$2

Combined PnL

-$17.88

Smart Money Signal

Over

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares40
Combined PnL-$18.62
Under3 traders
Total Value$2
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.74
Over — 40%Under — 60%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x79fbc125...cd376e
Slug
bl2-wob-vfl-2026-10-31-first-half-total-1pt5
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