Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold Yes, while the market favors Over (62%). 7 of 7 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5

2 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (29%) · $13K held · ended Oct 31

Over62¢Under14¢Ended Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔄

Contrarian

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 29%

Total Value

$12.9K

Combined PnL

-$457.1

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 7 top traders (29%)Underdog side (market favors Over 62%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over62%

Under14%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$7.4K

Total Shares11,562

Combined PnL-$734.74

Under5 traders

Total Value$5.5K

Total Shares15,018

Combined PnL+$277.64

Yes — 29%Under — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
GO GoalLineGhost	Yesavg 61.9¢	$8.1K	$7.4K	-$734.41	50% 25095-24835 (49930)
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Underavg 33.9¢	$4.1K	$4.6K	+$502.57	59% 45810-32163 (77973)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Underavg 37¢	$402.46	$413.83	+$11.37	50% 33395-32964 (66359)
VeryLucky888CTR	Underavg 38¢	$347.24	$342	+$0.14	58% 41902-30424 (72326)
us391CTR	Underavg 38¢	$282.99	$63.3	-$219.69	51% 1683-1646 (3329)
RN1<$100	Yesavg 50¢	$15.85	$15.52	-$0.33	54% 56596-48765 (105361)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Underavg 30.8¢	$23.13	$6.38	-$16.76	53% 4616-4152 (8768)

GoalLineGhost

Yes

Invested

$8,116.74

Value

$7.4K

PnL

-$734.41

Record

50%

25095-24835 (49930)

UpTheBluesCTR

Under

Invested

$4,136.85

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$502.57

Record

59%

45810-32163 (77973)

SnakeBallCTR

Under

Invested

$402.46

Value

$413.83

PnL

+$11.37

Record

50%

33395-32964 (66359)

VeryLucky888CTR

Under

Invested

$347.24

Value

$342

PnL

+$0.14

Record

58%

41902-30424 (72326)

us391CTR

Under

Invested

$282.99

Value

$63.3

PnL

-$219.69

Record

51%

1683-1646 (3329)

RN1<$100

Yes

Invested

$15.85

Value

$15.52

PnL

-$0.33

Record

54%

56596-48765 (105361)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Under

Invested

$23.13

Value

$6.38

PnL

-$16.76

Record

53%

4616-4152 (8768)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 7 top traders (29%)Underdog side (market favors Over 62%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Over wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance64.2%

62.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$55.85

Max Loss

-$100.00

155.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.