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No
HRTrading<$100YesYesYes
VeryLucky888<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Exact Score: SV Darmstadt 98 1 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg?
Resolved Yes. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$21
Combined PnL
-$34.74
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares436
Combined PnL-$36.21
Yes4 traders
Total Value$21
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$1.47
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 8.3¢ | $36.21 | — | -$36.21 | 49% 7982-8322 (16304) |
HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 93¢ | $19.53 | $21 | +$1.47 | 53% 4646-4187 (8833) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45819-32178 (77997) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Yesavg 10.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33398-32968 (66366) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41929-30449 (72378) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$36.21
Value
—
PnL
-$36.21
Record
49%
7982-8322 (16304)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$19.53
Value
$21
PnL
+$1.47
Record
53%
4646-4187 (8833)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45819-32178 (77997)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33398-32968 (66366)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41929-30449 (72378)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x05a4fad2...619a51
Slug
bl2-svd-fcm-2026-10-31-exact-score-1-1