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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Yes β€” but No won instead.

FC St. Pauli 1910 leading at halftime?

Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Yes 25%

Total Value

$216.86

Combined PnL

-$219.15

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders
Total Value$216.86
Total Shares217
Combined PnL+$80.85
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares811
Combined PnL-$300
No β€” 60%Yes β€” 40%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x3987a463...c5a37a
Slug
bl2-stp-fcn-2026-11-01-halftime-result-home
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