Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Hannover 96 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Over 50%
$2.45
-$23.45
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Overavg 30Β’ | $23.67 | β | -$23.67 | 50% 11182-10991 (22173) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 91Β’ | $2.23 | $2.45 | +$0.22 | 53% 5642-5057 (10699) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 91.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Underavg 69.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 57170-49418 (106588) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 79.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 12Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 13022-13588 (26610) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Overavg 21Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 77% 3443-1052 (4495) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 56.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 48% 8966-9599 (18565) |
Invested
$23.67
Value
β
PnL
-$23.67
Record
50%
11182-10991 (22173)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.23
Value
$2.45
PnL
+$0.22
Record
53%
5642-5057 (10699)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
RN1<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57170-49418 (106588)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
13022-13588 (26610)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
77%
3443-1052 (4495)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
8966-9599 (18565)
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