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VeryLucky888NoNoNoYesYesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Holstein Kiel leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 25%
Total Value
$461.63
Combined PnL
-$352.29
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$461.63
Total Shares462
Combined PnL+$147.71
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,770
Combined PnL-$500
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 68¢ | $200 | $200 | +$64 | 58% 42700-31074 (73774) |
WE WeBuyHighWeSelllow | Noavg 68¢ | $136 | $200 | +$64 | 54% 4943-4171 (9114) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $61.63 | $61.63 | +$19.71 | 57% 29237-21622 (50859) |
0X 0xcba9371dcbbd7a48b477f04274376e1feea9f812CTR | Yesavg 28.2¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 25% 97-288 (385) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19451-19817 (39268) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 77.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
VeryLucky888Invested
$200
Value
$200
PnL
+$64
Record
58%
42700-31074 (73774)
WE
WeBuyHighWeSelllowInvested
$136
Value
$200
PnL
+$64
Record
54%
4943-4171 (9114)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
$61.63
Value
$61.63
PnL
+$19.71
Record
57%
29237-21622 (50859)
0X
0xcba9371dcbbd7a48b477f04274376e1feea9f812CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
25%
97-288 (385)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19451-19817 (39268)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x24755bde...4aaad5
Slug
bl2-fur-ksv-2026-11-01-halftime-result-away