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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?

Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 83%

Total Value

$879.62

Combined PnL

$234.01

Smart Money Signal

No

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No9 traders
Total Value$879.62
Total Shares880
Combined PnL+$235.76
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.75
No — 75%Yes — 25%
oieshfn345
No

Invested

$399.64

Value

$418.82

PnL

+$19.18

Record

57%

1817-1366 (3183)

BE
Betziko
No

Invested

$329.9

Value

$329.9

PnL

+$218.29

Record

54%

6427-5413 (11840)

ZX
zxc368
No

Invested

$112.02

Value

$112.02

PnL

+$0.11

Record

98%

13363-214 (13577)

HRTrading<$100
No

Invested

$19.49

Value

$17.2

PnL

-$2.29

Record

53%

5642-5057 (10699)

FO
foooool<$100
No

Invested

$1.21

Value

$1.68

PnL

+$0.47

Record

50%

11182-10991 (22173)

BI
BillBenter2026CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

58%

18784-13847 (32631)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

46920-33177 (80097)

RN1<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

57170-49418 (106588)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

33863-33445 (67308)

GO
GoalLineGhost<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

25666-25500 (51166)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

8966-9599 (18565)

VeryLucky888<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

42700-31074 (73774)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x1c9130fb...553240
Slug
bl2-fur-ksv-2026-11-01-draw

Traders in this Market

oieshfn345

No — $418.82

+$19.18
BE

Betziko

No — $329.9

+$218.29
ZX

zxc368

No — $112.02

+$0.11

HRTrading

No — $17.2

-$2.29
FO

foooool

No — $1.68

+$0.47
BI

BillBenter2026

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.75
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

RN1

No — $0

+$0
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $0

+$0
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