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HRTrading<$100UnderOver
poshposhCTR<$100OverUnder
RN1<$100UnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 6.5
Resolved Under. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Over 67%
Total Value
$29.44
Combined PnL
-$26.78
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$29.44
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$0.74
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares956
Combined PnL-$27.52
Under — 57%Over — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 97.5¢ | $28.7 | $29.44 | +$0.74 | 53% 4646-4187 (8833) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.9¢ | $26.21 | — | -$26.21 | 49% 7982-8322 (16304) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.6¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 59% 10191-7178 (17369) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 97.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45819-32178 (77997) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56611-48781 (105392) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25104-24842 (49946) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12639-13031 (25670) |
HRTrading<$100Invested
$28.7
Value
$29.44
PnL
+$0.74
Record
53%
4646-4187 (8833)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$26.21
Value
—
PnL
-$26.21
Record
49%
7982-8322 (16304)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
59%
10191-7178 (17369)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45819-32178 (77997)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56611-48781 (105392)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25104-24842 (49946)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12639-13031 (25670)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0597a8a2...2fb814
Slug
bl2-fck-ber-2026-10-31-total-6pt5