Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Cairns Taipans — but Melbourne United won instead.

Spread: Melbourne United (-5.5)

Resolved Melbourne United. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Cairns Taipans. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Cairns Taipans 80%

Total Value

$39.65

Combined PnL

$-2.6K

Cairns Taipans

4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Melbourne United100%

Cairns Taipans0%

Cairns Taipans4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,306

Combined PnL$-2.6K

Melbourne United1 trader

Total Value$39.65

Total Shares40

Combined PnL+$0.04

Cairns Taipans — 80%Melbourne United — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	Cairns Taipansavg 50¢	$2.0K	—	$-2.4K	47% 2505-2803 (5308)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Cairns Taipansavg 47.5¢	$69.38	—	-$83.98	58% 28689-21179 (49868)
LO looppau<$100	Melbourne Unitedavg 99.9¢	$39.61	$39.65	+$0.04	99% 10912-66 (10978)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Cairns Taipansavg 44¢	$31.81	—	-$31.81	53% 4616-4152 (8768)
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100	Cairns Taipansavg 50¢	$37.15	—	-$36.78	50% 3869-3825 (7694)