Brave Thunders vs. Yokohama B-Corsairs

2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Yokohama B-Corsairs (50%) · Yokohama B-Corsairs at 99¢ · $63 held · ends Nov 8

Brave Thunders<1¢Yokohama B-Corsairs>99¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Yokohama B-Corsairs

Consensus Traders

Yokohama B-Corsairs 50%

Total Value

$62.97

Combined PnL

$12.66

Research grade

AvoidYokohama B-Corsairs at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Yokohama B-Corsairs

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Brave Thunders1%

Yokohama B-Corsairs99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yokohama B-Corsairs2 traders

Total Value$62.78

Total Shares87

Combined PnL+$27.29

Brave Thunders2 traders

Total Value$0.19

Total Shares27

Combined PnL-$14.63

Yokohama B-Corsairs — 50%Brave Thunders — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
poshposh<$100	Yokohama B-Corsairsavg 59.9¢	$28.44	$39.26	+$9.96	58% 10646-7629 (18275)
NA NatoAlfista<$100	Yokohama B-Corsairsavg 61¢	$6.19	$23.52	+$17.33	50% 3943-3929 (7872)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Brave Thundersavg 57¢	$14.26	$0.18	-$13.59	57% 29224-21607 (50831)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Brave Thundersavg 53¢	$1.06	$0.01	-$1.05	53% 5597-5025 (10622)

poshposh<$100

Yokohama B-Corsairs

Invested

$28.44

Value

$39.26

PnL

+$9.96

Record

58%

10646-7629 (18275)

NatoAlfista<$100

Yokohama B-Corsairs

Invested

$6.19

Value

$23.52

PnL

+$17.33

Record

50%

3943-3929 (7872)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Brave Thunders

Invested

$14.26

Value

$0.18

PnL

-$13.59

Record

57%

29224-21607 (50831)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Brave Thunders

Invested

$1.06

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$1.05

Record

53%

5597-5025 (10622)

Research grade

AvoidYokohama B-Corsairs at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Yokohama B-Corsairs

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yokohama B-Corsairs wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.