Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Hapoel Holon β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Hapoel Holon

SC RASTA Vechta vs. Hapoel Holon
Resolved Hapoel Holon. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Hapoel Holon. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Hapoel Holon 100%
1 arb excluded
$120.24
$26.81
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | SC RASTA Vechtaavg 34.1Β’ | $70.87 | $71.24 | -$34.09 | 49% 558-581 (1139) |
| β Hapoel Holon leg | Hapoel Holonavg 46.3Β’ | $32.98 | $71.24 | +$53.9 | |
| β SC RASTA Vechta leg | SC RASTA Vechtaavg 34.1Β’ | $53.53 | β | -$87.99 | |
TO torta.tech<$100 | Hapoel Holonavg 41Β’ | $15.99 | $39 | +$23.01 | 63% 7979-4772 (12751) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Hapoel Holonavg 62Β’ | $6.2 | $10 | +$3.8 | 53% 3109-2775 (5884) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | SC RASTA Vechtaavg 34Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 49% 18637-19066 (37703) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Hapoel Holonavg 44.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 60% 9411-6401 (15812) |
US User7429<$100 | Hapoel Holonavg 90Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 8111-6554 (14665) |
Invested
$70.87
Value
$71.24
PnL
-$34.09
Record
49%
558-581 (1139)
Both legs:
Invested
$15.99
Value
$39
PnL
+$23.01
Record
63%
7979-4772 (12751)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$6.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.8
Record
53%
3109-2775 (5884)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18637-19066 (37703)
poshposh<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
9411-6401 (15812)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
8111-6554 (14665)
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