Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragons

5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Zhejiang Golden Bulls (83%) · Zhejiang Golden Bulls at 80¢ · $4K held · ends Nov 8

Zhejiang Golden Bulls80¢Jiangsu Dragons20¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Consensus Traders

Zhejiang Golden Bulls 83%

Total Value

$4.2K

Combined PnL

$57.61

Smart Money Entry

79.8¢ → 80¢

+0% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

AvoidZhejiang Golden Bulls at 80%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Zhejiang Golden Bulls80%

Jiangsu Dragons20%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Zhejiang Golden Bulls5 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares4,222

Combined PnL+$16.18

Jiangsu Dragons1 trader

Total Value$855.73

Total Shares4,279

Combined PnL+$41.43

Zhejiang Golden Bulls — 83%Jiangsu Dragons — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TO torta.tech	Zhejiang Golden Bullsavg 80¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$0	62% 8223-4934 (13157)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Jiangsu Dragonsavg 19¢	$814.3	$855.73	+$41.43	48% 1059-1161 (2220)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Zhejiang Golden Bullsavg 77¢	$385	$400	+$15	59% 30663-21377 (52040)
Basquetipster<$100	Zhejiang Golden Bullsavg 92¢	$65.32	$66.03	+$1.07	68% 1673-770 (2443)
HRTrading<$100	Zhejiang Golden Bullsavg 79.2¢	$25.16	$25.24	+$0.08	53% 5597-5025 (10622)
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100	Zhejiang Golden Bullsavg 90¢	$0.9	$0.93	+$0.04	57% 29224-21607 (50831)

torta.tech

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Invested

$2,894.4

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$0

Record

62%

8223-4934 (13157)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Jiangsu Dragons

Invested

$814.3

Value

$855.73

PnL

+$41.43

Record

48%

1059-1161 (2220)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Invested

$385

Value

$400

PnL

+$15

Record

59%

30663-21377 (52040)

Basquetipster<$100

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Invested

$65.32

Value

$66.03

PnL

+$1.07

Record

68%

1673-770 (2443)

HRTrading<$100

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Invested

$25.16

Value

$25.24

PnL

+$0.08

Record

53%

5597-5025 (10622)

LeLynxMalynx<$100

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

Invested

$0.9

Value

$0.93

PnL

+$0.04

Record

57%

29224-21607 (50831)

Research grade

AvoidZhejiang Golden Bulls at 80%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Zhejiang Golden Bulls wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance81.8%

80.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$22.29

Max Loss

-$100.00

122.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.