Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Shanxi Loongs vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Sichuan Blue Whales (67%) · Sichuan Blue Whales at 0.1¢ · $817 held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
3
Sichuan Blue Whales 67%
4 arb excluded
$817.36
-$32.24
Smart Money Signal
2 of 3 top traders (67%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI BIAVNARB<$100 | Shanxi Loongsavg 90¢ | $494.32 | $411.31 | -$83.01 | 48% 238-256 (494) |
| └ Shanxi Loongs leg | Shanxi Loongsavg 90¢ | $451.55 | $316.67 | -$134.88 | |
| └ Sichuan Blue Whales leg | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 16.7¢ | $42.77 | $94.64 | +$51.87 | |
![]() poshposhARB<$100 | Shanxi Loongsavg 72.3¢ | $57.86 | $111.13 | +$53.27 | 58% 10657-7637 (18294) |
| └ Sichuan Blue Whales leg | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 3¢ | $5.29 | $65.22 | +$59.93 | |
| └ Shanxi Loongs leg | Shanxi Loongsavg 72.3¢ | $52.57 | $45.91 | -$6.66 | |
MI mishipolisARB<$100 | Shanxi Loongsavg 70¢ | $85.68 | $106.41 | +$20.73 | 50% 4583-4519 (9102) |
| └ Shanxi Loongs leg | Shanxi Loongsavg 70¢ | $82.86 | $74.74 | -$8.12 | |
| └ Sichuan Blue Whales leg | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 3.3¢ | $2.82 | $31.67 | +$28.85 | |
![]() HRTradingARB<$100 | Shanxi Loongsavg 92.2¢ | $62.71 | $91.88 | +$13.51 | 53% 5610-5034 (10644) |
| └ Sichuan Blue Whales leg | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 3¢ | $4.21 | $51.85 | +$31.97 | |
| └ Shanxi Loongs leg | Shanxi Loongsavg 92.2¢ | $58.5 | $40.03 | -$18.47 | |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Shanxi Loongsavg 77¢ | $119.97 | $89.17 | -$30.79 | 48% 1064-1163 (2227) |
TO torta.techCTR<$100 | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 18¢ | $3.6 | $7.38 | +$3.78 | 62% 8224-4935 (13159) |
![]() tradecraftCTR<$100 | Sichuan Blue Whalesavg 3.7¢ | $5.3 | $0.07 | -$5.23 | 51% 6075-5796 (11871) |
Invested
$494.32
Value
$411.31
PnL
-$83.01
Record
48%
238-256 (494)
Both legs:
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$57.86
Value
$111.13
PnL
+$53.27
Record
58%
10657-7637 (18294)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.68
Value
$106.41
PnL
+$20.73
Record
50%
4583-4519 (9102)
Both legs:
HRTradingARB<$100Invested
$62.71
Value
$91.88
PnL
+$13.51
Record
53%
5610-5034 (10644)
Both legs:
Invested
$119.97
Value
$89.17
PnL
-$30.79
Record
48%
1064-1163 (2227)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$7.38
PnL
+$3.78
Record
62%
8224-4935 (13159)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
$0.07
PnL
-$5.23
Record
51%
6075-5796 (11871)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BIAVN
ARBArbitrage — excluded

poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
mishipolis
ARBArbitrage — excluded

HRTrading
ARBArbitrage — excluded
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Shanxi Loongs — $89.17
torta.tech
CTRSichuan Blue Whales — $7.38

tradecraft
CTRSichuan Blue Whales — $0.07