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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 82%
Total Value
$20.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 11 top traders (82%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x99b5ab85...ef22ee
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-15-2026