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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
Resolved Down. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 20%
Total Value
$7.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 5 top traders (20%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1a6d65a3...19fe52
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-12-2026