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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET
Resolved Up. 82.11638186284505% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 82.11638186284505%
Total Value
$5.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 11 top traders (82.11638186284505%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaf065e8d...4a95f1
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-9-2026-4am-et