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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET
Resolved Down. 78.8917503479461% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Up 78.8917503479461%
Total Value
$3.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
9 of 11 top traders (78.8917503479461%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12ad2e6c...615a3e
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-9-2026-12am-et