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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET
Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Up 45%
Total Value
$10.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 11 top traders (45%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9be8b52c...27db29
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-8-2026-12pm-et