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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET

Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

3

Up 100%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

$203.16

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 3 top traders (100%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$931.79
Total Shares932
Combined PnL+$203.16
HS
HsilverbasherARB<$100
Up

Invested

$1,200.7

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$427.25

Record

12%

18318-133004 (151322)

Both legs:

Up$792.1448.7¢+$835.8
Down$408.5563.1¢-$408.55
TM
tmsd-test
Up

Invested

$709.36

Value

$887.63

PnL

+$178.28

Record

54%

14502-12343 (26845)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100
Up

Invested

$293.76

Value

$300.66

PnL

+$6.9

Record

64%

58661-33254 (91915)

Both legs:

Up$198.5366¢+$102.13
Down$95.2332¢-$95.23
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$106.27

Value

$76

PnL

-$30.27

Record

51%

7908-7454 (15362)

Both legs:

Down$88.1543.5¢-$88.15
Up$18.1223.8¢+$57.88
DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$6.99

Value

$31.75

PnL

+$24.76

Record

51%

20209-19351 (39560)

SH
Sharky6999<$100
Up

Invested

$12.29

Value

$12.41

PnL

+$0.12

Record

98%

6871-164 (7035)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x8d126c13...910211
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-31-2026-4am-et

Traders in this Market

HS

Hsilverbasher

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$427.25
TM

tmsd-test

Up — $887.63

+$178.28

Polkadot-Frog

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$6.9
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$30.27
DE

devonpoll

Up — $31.75

+$24.76
SH

Sharky6999

Up — $12.41

+$0.12
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