Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET

Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.2K

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$4.3K

Total Shares4,324

Combined PnL-$31.54

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,094

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN Anon455	Downavg 70.4¢	$2.0K	$1.9K	-$117.88	55% 2937-2368 (5305)
BI bibana100CTR	Upavg 32.7¢	$1.0K	—	$-1.0K	— 5-8 (13)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 71.6¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	-$63.4	57% 6759-4998 (11757)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 58.7¢	$730.04	$758.83	+$28.78	67% 99858-48247 (148105)
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$565.07	$839.64	+$274.57	12% 18326-133008 (151334)
└ Down leg	Downavg 58.8¢	$493.35	$839.64	+$346.28
└ Up leg	Upavg 29.6¢	$71.72	—	-$71.72
MO mo-money	Downavg 68¢	$204	$300	+$96	55% 50710-41324 (92034)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 55.8¢	$59.24	$84.19	+$24.95	52% 8084-7595 (15679)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$3	—	-$3	51% 20272-19399 (39671)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$3	—	-$3	58% 38225-27367 (65592)