Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 75%
$2.2K
$361.81
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FI fiankee | Upavg 48.5¢ | $767.68 | $1.6K | +$815.53 | 56% 1006-806 (1812) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 58.3¢ | $680 | — | -$680 | 39% 197-311 (508) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 44.3¢ | $220.18 | $390.04 | +$169.87 | 12% 18311-133000 (151311) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 44¢ | $46.2 | $105 | +$58.8 | 54% 14488-12323 (26811) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $26.55 | $26.82 | +$0.27 | 74% 102637-36444 (139081) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $25.55 | $37.58 | +$12.03 | 55% 2868-2301 (5169) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $29.5 | — | -$29.5 | 51% 7760-7327 (15087) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 26.9¢ | $5.44 | $20.26 | +$14.82 | 51% 20151-19318 (39469) |
RA rabadabadoo<$100 | Upavg 42.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 22376-15741 (38117) |
Invested
$767.68
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$815.53
Record
56%
1006-806 (1812)
Invested
$680
Value
—
PnL
-$680
Record
39%
197-311 (508)
Invested
$220.18
Value
$390.04
PnL
+$169.87
Record
12%
18311-133000 (151311)
Invested
$46.2
Value
$105
PnL
+$58.8
Record
54%
14488-12323 (26811)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$26.55
Value
$26.82
PnL
+$0.27
Record
74%
102637-36444 (139081)
Invested
$25.55
Value
$37.58
PnL
+$12.03
Record
55%
2868-2301 (5169)
Invested
$29.5
Value
—
PnL
-$29.5
Record
51%
7760-7327 (15087)
Invested
$5.44
Value
$20.26
PnL
+$14.82
Record
51%
20151-19318 (39469)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
22376-15741 (38117)
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