Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 81%
$5.3K
-$997.49
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 73.8¢ | $1.6K | $2.2K | +$575.54 | 67% 99627-48015 (147642) |
BI bibana100CTR | Downavg 24.6¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | — 5-6 (11) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 43.1¢ | $670 | — | -$670 | 39% 191-302 (493) |
AN Anon455 | Upavg 76¢ | $462.71 | $609 | +$146.29 | 55% 2862-2296 (5158) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 77.8¢ | $389.76 | $428.18 | +$38.42 | 12% 18311-132999 (151310) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 65.7¢ | $314.06 | $350 | +$35.94 | 57% 6742-4985 (11727) |
AL almach | Upavg 74.7¢ | $260.58 | $349 | +$88.42 | 55% 48497-40065 (88562) |
RA rabadabadoo | Upavg 73.8¢ | $321.06 | $328.59 | +$7.53 | 59% 22376-15741 (38117) |
BO bosona | Upavg 78.9¢ | $226.84 | $287.58 | +$60.74 | 55% 49771-39994 (89765) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 77¢ | $177.32 | $230.24 | +$52.92 | 55% 50593-41202 (91795) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 66.4¢ | $152.7 | $150 | -$2.7 | 64% 58432-33076 (91508) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $123.17 | $200.91 | +$77.73 | 58% 51036-37181 (88217) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $56.94 | $81.34 | +$24.4 | 54% 14486-12318 (26804) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 88.3¢ | $54.94 | $40 | -$14.94 | 51% 7743-7307 (15050) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
AO aosdijfCTR<$100 | Downavg 0.2¢ | $6.55 | — | -$6.55 | 9% 47-455 (502) |
DU Dubaiitaly | Upavg 53.3¢ | $100 | $0.01 | +$87.41 | 49% 179-187 (366) |
Invested
$1,617.38
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$575.54
Record
67%
99627-48015 (147642)
Invested
$1,500
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
—
5-6 (11)
Invested
$670
Value
—
PnL
-$670
Record
39%
191-302 (493)
Invested
$462.71
Value
$609
PnL
+$146.29
Record
55%
2862-2296 (5158)
Invested
$389.76
Value
$428.18
PnL
+$38.42
Record
12%
18311-132999 (151310)
Invested
$314.06
Value
$350
PnL
+$35.94
Record
57%
6742-4985 (11727)
Invested
$260.58
Value
$349
PnL
+$88.42
Record
55%
48497-40065 (88562)
Invested
$321.06
Value
$328.59
PnL
+$7.53
Record
59%
22376-15741 (38117)
Invested
$226.84
Value
$287.58
PnL
+$60.74
Record
55%
49771-39994 (89765)
Invested
$177.32
Value
$230.24
PnL
+$52.92
Record
55%
50593-41202 (91795)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$152.7
Value
$150
PnL
-$2.7
Record
64%
58432-33076 (91508)
Invested
$123.17
Value
$200.91
PnL
+$77.73
Record
58%
51036-37181 (88217)
Invested
$56.94
Value
$81.34
PnL
+$24.4
Record
54%
14486-12318 (26804)
Invested
$54.94
Value
$40
PnL
-$14.94
Record
51%
7743-7307 (15050)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
Invested
$6.55
Value
—
PnL
-$6.55
Record
9%
47-455 (502)
Invested
$100
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$87.41
Record
49%
179-187 (366)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $2.2K
bibana100
CTRDown — $0
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
Anon455
Up — $609
Hsilverbasher
Up — $428.18
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $350
almach
Up — $349
rabadabadoo
Up — $328.59
bosona
Up — $287.58
mo-money
Up — $230.24