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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Down β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Down 75%

Total Value

$4.4K

Combined PnL

$750.42

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$4.4K
Total Shares4,439
Combined PnL+$860.33
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares750
Combined PnL-$109.91
Down β€” 75%Up β€” 25%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xfe86a4bf...3f2a78
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-7am-et
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