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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Down 89%
Total Value
$8.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
11 of 12 top traders (89%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd91c4d46...613ce9
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-6am-et