Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET
7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Down (70%) · Down at 0.1¢ · $2K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
10
Down 70%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
$104.34
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $493.44 | $571.77 | +$78.33 | 57% 6732-4979 (11711) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 52.5¢ | $464.89 | $442.99 | -$21.91 | 54% 14479-12311 (26790) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 46.3¢ | $352.63 | $380.67 | +$28.04 | 46% 8006-9466 (17472) |
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100 | Downavg 36.4¢ | $230.32 | $262.73 | +$32.41 | 12% 18310-132999 (151309) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.4¢ | $127.2 | $157.33 | +$30.13 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.8¢ | $103.13 | $105.41 | +$2.28 | |
FI fiankeeCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $201 | $201 | +$0 | 56% 1006-805 (1811) |
AN Anon455CTR | Downavg 39.5¢ | $126.42 | $159.91 | +$33.49 | 56% 2860-2289 (5149) |
DU Dubaiitaly | Upavg 52¢ | $153.2 | $147.24 | -$5.95 | 49% 178-187 (365) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $46.08 | $51.2 | +$5.12 | 58% 51027-37173 (88200) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4¢ | $29.01 | $15.02 | -$13.99 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $10.58 | $11.5 | +$0.92 | 58% 60631-44262 (104893) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
Invested
$493.44
Value
$571.77
PnL
+$78.33
Record
57%
6732-4979 (11711)
Invested
$464.89
Value
$442.99
PnL
-$21.91
Record
54%
14479-12311 (26790)
Invested
$352.63
Value
$380.67
PnL
+$28.04
Record
46%
8006-9466 (17472)
Invested
$230.32
Value
$262.73
PnL
+$32.41
Record
12%
18310-132999 (151309)
Both legs:
Invested
$201
Value
$201
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1006-805 (1811)
Invested
$126.42
Value
$159.91
PnL
+$33.49
Record
56%
2860-2289 (5149)
Invested
$153.2
Value
$147.24
PnL
-$5.95
Record
49%
178-187 (365)
Invested
$46.08
Value
$51.2
PnL
+$5.12
Record
58%
51027-37173 (88200)
Invested
$29.01
Value
$15.02
PnL
-$13.99
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
Invested
$10.58
Value
$11.5
PnL
+$0.92
Record
58%
60631-44262 (104893)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $571.77
tmsd-test
CTRDown — $442.99
38791873984189
CTRDown — $380.67
Hsilverbasher
ARBArbitrage — excluded
fiankee
CTRDown — $201
Anon455
CTRDown — $159.91
Dubaiitaly
Up — $147.24
PBot-6
CTRDown — $51.2
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $15.02
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $11.5