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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$70.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,390

Combined PnL+$123.32

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares781

Combined PnL-$193.52

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 95.2¢	$665.75	$682.49	+$16.75	64% 58208-32895 (91103)
AN Anon455	Upavg 81.1¢	$289.95	$357.46	+$67.51	56% 2814-2242 (5056)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 88.5¢	$284.41	$300	+$15.59	57% 6680-4948 (11628)
PB PBot-6CTR	Downavg 50.9¢	$115	—	-$115	58% 50965-37099 (88064)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$43.5	—	-$43.5	58% 37800-27033 (64833)
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100	Upavg 48¢	$16.94	$35.3	+$18.36	46% 7787-9202 (16989)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 47.9¢	$9.94	$15.06	+$5.12	55% 48369-39929 (88298)
TH thismonthCTR<$100	Downavg 2.6¢	$11.67	—	-$11.67	34% 589-1143 (1732)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 51.6¢	$23.35	—	-$23.35	51% 7452-7030 (14482)

Invested

$665.75

Value

$682.49

PnL

+$16.75

Record

64%

58208-32895 (91103)

Invested

$289.95

Value

$357.46

PnL

+$67.51

Record

56%

2814-2242 (5056)

Invested

$284.41

Value

$300

PnL

+$15.59

Record

57%

6680-4948 (11628)

Invested

$115

Value

—

PnL

-$115

Record

58%

50965-37099 (88064)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$43.5

Value

—

PnL

-$43.5

Record

58%

37800-27033 (64833)

0x0d2d...7ff5<$100

Invested

$16.94

Value

$35.3

PnL

+$18.36

Record

46%

7787-9202 (16989)

Invested

$9.94

Value

$15.06

PnL

+$5.12

Record

55%

48369-39929 (88298)

thismonthCTR<$100

Invested

$11.67

Value

—

PnL

-$11.67

Record

34%

589-1143 (1732)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$23.35

Value

—

PnL

-$23.35

Record

51%

7452-7030 (14482)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x47577079...ce9ecb

Slug

bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-1am-et

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $682.49

Anon455

Up — $357.46

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $300

PBot-6

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

0x0d2d...7ff5

Up — $35.3

almach

Up — $15.06

thismonth

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

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