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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 57%

Total Value

$3.3K

Combined PnL

$-1.8K

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,302

Combined PnL-$832.27

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,400

Combined PnL-$947.74

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 84.5¢	$3.1K	$2.2K	-$898.5	64% 58208-32895 (91103)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 73.9¢	$830.06	—	-$830.06	68% 99314-47650 (146964)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 56¢	$563.15	$608.44	+$45.29	57% 6680-4948 (11628)
AN Anon455	Upavg 78.5¢	$433.46	$451.06	+$17.61	56% 2814-2242 (5056)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$88.73	—	-$88.73	46% 7787-9202 (16989)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 30.3¢	$28.96	—	-$28.96	51% 7452-7030 (14482)
BE beeemw<$100	Upavg 75¢	$10	$13.33	+$3.33	77% 303-88 (391)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	—	—	+$0	58% 37800-27033 (64833)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 28¢	—	—	+$0	51% 20024-19184 (39208)

Invested

$3,128.16

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$898.5

Record

64%

58208-32895 (91103)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$830.06

Value

—

PnL

-$830.06

Record

68%

99314-47650 (146964)

Invested

$563.15

Value

$608.44

PnL

+$45.29

Record

57%

6680-4948 (11628)

Invested

$433.46

Value

$451.06

PnL

+$17.61

Record

56%

2814-2242 (5056)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$88.73

Value

—

PnL

-$88.73

Record

46%

7787-9202 (16989)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$28.96

Value

—

PnL

-$28.96

Record

51%

7452-7030 (14482)

Invested

$10

Value

$13.33

PnL

+$3.33

Record

77%

303-88 (391)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

37800-27033 (64833)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20024-19184 (39208)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x52c3a4da...280485

Slug

bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-12am-et

Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $2.2K

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $608.44

Anon455

Up — $451.06

38791873984189

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

beeemw

Up — $13.33

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

devonpoll

Up — $0

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