Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET
4 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Up (44%) · Up at 100¢ · $21K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
9
Up 44%
5 arb excluded
$20.8K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $11.8K | $10.2K | $-1.6K | 67% 99557-47950 (147507) |
BI bibana100ARB<$100 | Downavg 39.4¢ | $4.0K | $5.4K | +$1.4K | — 1-1 (2) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.4¢ | $2.0K | $3.3K | +$1.2K | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.6¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$142.78 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $2.1K | $1.8K | -$259.77 | 57% 6711-4969 (11680) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 54.7¢ | $917.5 | $1.1K | +$155.79 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.7¢ | $1.1K | $723.33 | -$415.55 | |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $895.43 | -$318.92 | 74% 102547-36416 (138963) |
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $662.78 | $681.93 | +$19.15 | 12% 18307-132995 (151302) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66.1¢ | $502.06 | $486.19 | -$15.87 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.6¢ | $160.72 | $195.73 | +$35.02 | |
AN Anon455ARB<$100 | Upavg 46.4¢ | $380.55 | $517.08 | +$136.53 | 56% 2854-2282 (5136) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.4¢ | $234.19 | $368.22 | +$134.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.5¢ | $146.36 | $148.87 | +$2.51 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 47.6¢ | $206.7 | $278.2 | +$71.49 | 46% 7951-9381 (17332) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 53.3¢ | $191.68 | $262.72 | +$71.03 | 54% 14470-12305 (26775) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 61.5¢ | $184.5 | $192 | +$7.5 | 55% 49717-39929 (89646) |
AL almachCTR | Downavg 62.5¢ | $187.5 | $192 | +$4.5 | 55% 48449-40007 (88456) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 61.5¢ | $184.5 | $192 | +$7.5 | 55% 50491-41088 (91579) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 45.1¢ | $195.32 | $191.54 | -$3.79 | 64% 58294-32972 (91266) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $75 | $96.75 | +$21.75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.1¢ | $120.31 | $94.79 | -$25.54 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $56.16 | $48.45 | -$7.7 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 14.1¢ | $4.4 | $5.8 | +$5.45 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
Invested
$11,805
Value
$10.2K
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
67%
99557-47950 (147507)
Invested
$3,980.14
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
—
1-1 (2)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,056.39
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$259.77
Record
57%
6711-4969 (11680)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$1,214.35
Value
$895.43
PnL
-$318.92
Record
74%
102547-36416 (138963)
Invested
$662.78
Value
$681.93
PnL
+$19.15
Record
12%
18307-132995 (151302)
Both legs:
Invested
$380.55
Value
$517.08
PnL
+$136.53
Record
56%
2854-2282 (5136)
Both legs:
Invested
$206.7
Value
$278.2
PnL
+$71.49
Record
46%
7951-9381 (17332)
Invested
$191.68
Value
$262.72
PnL
+$71.03
Record
54%
14470-12305 (26775)
Invested
$184.5
Value
$192
PnL
+$7.5
Record
55%
49717-39929 (89646)
Invested
$187.5
Value
$192
PnL
+$4.5
Record
55%
48449-40007 (88456)
Invested
$184.5
Value
$192
PnL
+$7.5
Record
55%
50491-41088 (91579)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$195.32
Value
$191.54
PnL
-$3.79
Record
64%
58294-32972 (91266)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.16
Value
$48.45
PnL
-$7.7
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5.8
PnL
+$5.45
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $10.2K
bibana100
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Up — $895.43
Hsilverbasher
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
CTRDown — $278.2
tmsd-test
Up — $262.72
bosona
CTRDown — $192
almach
CTRDown — $192