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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Down 50%
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 9 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x557e9d05...53deb0
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-2026-11pm-et